1) – The timing of maximum panic. – the original observation on the lunar calendar link to market panics. The best place to read this research is Autumn Panics, a Calendar Phenomenon – this 1998 Charles Dow Award winning paper can be read at the MTA website here. That research was used to pinpoint the time of maximum panic in October 2008 when the VIX index, measuring fear in the markets, reached its collapse extreme. Those blog posts are here. and here,
2) – The Spiral Calendar - the original research detailing the logarithmic and lunar based cycles that link extreme emotional events. The book of the same name, used copies are available from Amazon is the best place to learn this technique. The Spiral Calendar’s extraordinary effectiveness was demonstrated in the June 2008 report that detailed the precise timing of the important crude oil top that occurred one month later. The details of that forecast are here.
3) – Eclipse cycles as drivers of the Long-Wave. This work evolved in the early 2000s and was presented in pieces within Special Report issues of Calendar Research Reports, my former publication. I may make them available at some point in the future, or compile the work in another form (book?). This example from the 2004 Special Report detailed the timing of the double-top that was still years away from forming. Many analysts correctly foresaw the inevitable collapse that was built into the debt bubble as the 2000s unfolded. But their methodologies gave them no clue as to when the criticial turn would occur.
4) – The Solunar Model - a seasonal model averaged from past similar solar-lunar alignments as a predictor of market direction. For the second half of 2008 and early 2009 this model has tracked the Dow Jones Industrial Average with remarkable accuracy. Here’s the solunar model at the October low. The latest version of the model is here. The model for gold is here.
Taken together, to have so many different and original observations of market phenomenon verified in the real world of market experience, is an accomplishment that I believe, no other technical market analyst living or dead, has achieved.