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<channel>
	<title>pay attention or pay the offer &#187; Solunar Model</title>
	<atom:link href="http://carolan.org/category/solunar-model/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://carolan.org</link>
	<description>thoughts on markets &#38; cetera  - christopher carolan</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Wed, 08 Feb 2012 00:09:01 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
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		<item>
		<title>Back on Manual</title>
		<link>http://carolan.org/2012/01/back-on-manual/</link>
		<comments>http://carolan.org/2012/01/back-on-manual/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Jan 2012 21:15:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ChrisC</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Internals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Solunar Model]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://carolan.org/?p=5152</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A rather nasty computer issue has me temporarily suspending video commentary. I&#8217;m back in manual mode today, but hope to have videos back midweek. &#160; &#160; &#160; &#160; &#160;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A rather nasty computer issue has me temporarily suspending video commentary. I&#8217;m back in manual mode today, but hope to have videos back midweek.</p>
<div class="ym_private_no_access">You must be subscribed to the Calendar Level, Premium Level to see the remainder of this post.</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Paying Attention to the Solunar Models</title>
		<link>http://carolan.org/2011/12/paying-attention-to-the-solunar-models/</link>
		<comments>http://carolan.org/2011/12/paying-attention-to-the-solunar-models/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2011 00:21:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ChrisC</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Euro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Solunar Model]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://carolan.org/?p=5067</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today&#8217;s precious metals&#8217; decline suggests the Solunar Model may now be driving prices going forward in coming weeks. Details in today&#8217;s video discussion. &#160;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today&#8217;s precious metals&#8217; decline suggests the Solunar Model may now be driving prices going forward in coming weeks. Details in today&#8217;s video discussion.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>If the VIX gotes to 70&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://carolan.org/2011/11/if-the-vix-gotes-to-70/</link>
		<comments>http://carolan.org/2011/11/if-the-vix-gotes-to-70/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Nov 2011 01:06:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ChrisC</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Euro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Solunar Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Spiral Calendar]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://carolan.org/?p=5010</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Where does that put the S&#38;P?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Where does that put the S&amp;P?</p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Solunar Says</title>
		<link>http://carolan.org/2011/11/solunar-says/</link>
		<comments>http://carolan.org/2011/11/solunar-says/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Nov 2011 22:26:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ChrisC</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Euro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Solunar Model]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://carolan.org/?p=5000</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s time!]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s time!</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Gold Solunar Update</title>
		<link>http://carolan.org/2011/10/gold-solunar-update-3/</link>
		<comments>http://carolan.org/2011/10/gold-solunar-update-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Oct 2011 17:20:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ChrisC</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Solunar Model]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://carolan.org/?p=4976</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here&#8217;s the Solunar Model for gold through the first half of 2012.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&#8217;s the Solunar Model for gold through the first half of 2012.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Dow Solunar Model Update</title>
		<link>http://carolan.org/2011/10/dow-solunar-model-update/</link>
		<comments>http://carolan.org/2011/10/dow-solunar-model-update/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Oct 2011 16:30:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ChrisC</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Solunar Model]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://carolan.org/?p=4961</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Solunar Model is a seasonal model that shows us what occurred, on average, in years that had the same solar/lunar alignment (phases, not perigee/apogee or eclipses) as this year.  Here&#8217;s the model updated through the second quarter of 2012. click chart to enlarge The model has the current rally lasting into November 7. The [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Solunar Model is a seasonal model that shows us what occurred, on average, in years that had the same solar/lunar alignment (phases, not perigee/apogee or eclipses) as this year.  Here&#8217;s the model updated through the second quarter of 2012.</p>

<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://carolan.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/102411sol3.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-4962" title="102411sol3" src="http://carolan.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/102411sol3-450x284.gif" alt="" width="450" height="284" /></a>click chart to enlarge</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The model has the current rally lasting into November 7. The traditional year-end rally runs from November 19 to January 2. The model gives us plenty of definitive swings in coming months, suggesting that there will be decent opportunities for market movement in both directions over the next few months.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://carolan.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/10241sol1.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-4964" title="10241sol1" src="http://carolan.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/10241sol1-450x278.gif" alt="" width="450" height="278" /></a>click chart to enlarge</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The chart above gives a more detailed view of the next 90 days.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://carolan.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/102411sol2.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-4963" title="102411sol2" src="http://carolan.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/102411sol2-450x292.gif" alt="" width="450" height="292" /></a>click chart to enlarge</p>
<p>While doing this update, I discovered a calculation error in the model that effected 8% of the data input. The charts today have that error corrected. The chart above shows the entire 2011 model corrected for the error. The<a href="http://carolan.org/2011/06/not-too-shabby/#more-4710" target="_blank"> June 21 post here</a> shows the 2011 model without the correction for comparison purposes. The error fix changed mostly the shape of the model and not so much the trend change points.</p>

]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Bounce</title>
		<link>http://carolan.org/2011/10/bounce/</link>
		<comments>http://carolan.org/2011/10/bounce/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Oct 2011 20:41:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ChrisC</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Euro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Solunar Model]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://carolan.org/?p=4930</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Can today&#8217;s bounce continue?  Probably for a few days.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Can today&#8217;s bounce continue?  Probably for a few days.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>As the Solunar Turns</title>
		<link>http://carolan.org/2011/09/as-the-solunar-turns/</link>
		<comments>http://carolan.org/2011/09/as-the-solunar-turns/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Sep 2011 23:55:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ChrisC</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Euro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Solunar Model]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://carolan.org/?p=4900</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Solunar Model suggests a change from benevolent to not-so-nice in the immediate future.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Solunar Model suggests a change from benevolent to not-so-nice in the immediate future.</p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Don&#8217;t Forget the Moon</title>
		<link>http://carolan.org/2011/08/dont-forget-the-moon/</link>
		<comments>http://carolan.org/2011/08/dont-forget-the-moon/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Aug 2011 23:15:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ChrisC</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Solunar Model]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://carolan.org/?p=4816</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s still in the sky, last I looked&#8230;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s still in the sky, last I looked&#8230;</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Solunar Model Updates</title>
		<link>http://carolan.org/2011/07/solunar-model-updates-2/</link>
		<comments>http://carolan.org/2011/07/solunar-model-updates-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Jul 2011 17:44:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ChrisC</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Solunar Model]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://carolan.org/?p=4780</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#160; click chart to enlarge Updated charts for Dow and Gold Solunar models are included below for subscribers. &#160; &#160;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://carolan.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/072111solshort.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-4781" title="072111solshort" src="http://carolan.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/072111solshort-450x304.gif" alt="" width="450" height="304" /></a>click chart to enlarge</p>
<p>Updated charts for Dow and Gold Solunar models are included below for subscribers.</p>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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