pay attention or pay the offer

15 responses so far ↓

• 1 Denali92 // Mar 30, 2009 at 1:06 pm

  Thanks for the Friday post on the volume oscillator – 767 seems very sensible and then quite possibly a re-test back up to 810 – 820 late Wednesday – that would mess people up with a whipsaw. I am watching your solunar model with interest – right now I just follow the lunar signals as a guide – they did very well with the surge on 10-March for the full moon and the new moon top with that late day rally on Thursday, March 26th. They do not always work, but they certainly help anchor market ideas. Here is to 767 – it fits with a lot of technical support areas. THANKS!

• 2 hindenburg_omen // Mar 30, 2009 at 2:17 pm

  thanks for the prop job post, chris. i’ve been bear positioned since thurs am and i almost lost my conviction friday because the market was taking every technical excuse (bear flags into triangles into bear flags into triangles) not to fall.

• 3 LovesBeta // Mar 30, 2009 at 5:22 pm

  Chris, thank you very much for solunar and tidal updates; As well as, other timely posts.

• 4 chester // Mar 31, 2009 at 12:42 am

  Chris.

  Apologies in advance if I’m misinterpreting your model but the next SELL you have is for April 1st but looking by the chart there is a green above it coming in on April 10th ? So, wouldn’t that discount the SELL ?

• 5 larsoe // Mar 31, 2009 at 5:13 am

  Chris, thanks for sharing all your work! I am also in research on tidal dates. Which location do you use for calculation of High/Low tides in you model? The Reedy Point Taylor uses? Thanks, larsoe

• 6 rich // Mar 31, 2009 at 5:50 am

  If the signal on 2nd March was a buy, as a rising line with a green immediately below a red, then the April 1st signal should also be a buy signal as it is the same.
  Is that not right?

• 7 chester // Mar 31, 2009 at 7:31 am

  rich – Yes, I’m with you . April 1st looks a BUY . Hopefully Chris will clear this up for us soon.

• 8 snudge99 // Mar 31, 2009 at 9:32 am

  Chester/Chris/Rich…been over it three times….I agree with you…April 1 buy, April 10 sell…

• 9 rich // Mar 31, 2009 at 1:15 pm

  Looking at Chris’s buy/sell point list above, he states that the next turn after the buy signal on March 2nd is a sell signal on April 17th. I think that looks right.
  Looking back at the chart the red above the green, but some distance away, only reverses the signal if the chart has not changed direction in the meantime.
  I can’t see any bad outcomes in this chart from applying that rule, and it would have reversed the disastrous buy signal on Sept 26th.
  I haven’t looked further back though.

• 10 deuxsous // Mar 31, 2009 at 7:29 pm

  Christopher,

  Compared to some very mathematically advanced neural networks and ruled-based models I see on a regular basis, your solunar model record is very good indeed, even if followed exactly as you have tallied it.

  The tides only part that I do had its worst month of the past year in March for US equities. For gold and yen it worked well.

• 11 rich // Apr 1, 2009 at 7:02 am

  The correlation on equities is remarkable.

• 12 chris // Apr 1, 2009 at 8:58 am

  There seems to be some confusion – the tidal dates listed are ALL the dates of the upcoming red and green marks on the charts – regardless of whether the solutide model shifts its position.

  The solutide model acts on those tidal dates that are seemingly in concert with the solunar model.

  There is a tidal seel date today, April 1. The solutide model does not act on it because the next tidal buy is at a higher level on the solunar model. Hope that helps.

  I think both the solunar and tidal work is best used as a guide, and not as some type of defined trading system (which it is not). And, as I’ve stated before, I think the remarkable results in past months is due to the fact that the markets were trading on 100% emotion at that time. To the extent that other factors return to fore, the solunar effectiveness should be reduced in the future.

• 13 rich // Apr 1, 2009 at 9:06 am

  Thanks Chris, much appreciated.
  You’re right. Markets still trading on 90% emotion & 10% news though, and that may well remain the case for the rest of the year.

• 14 snudge99 // Apr 1, 2009 at 11:42 am

  Many thanks Chris…I really appreciate your stuff- terrific

• 15 snudge99 // Apr 1, 2009 at 11:47 am

  ….only thing I would question ( and I am very new to this) is that looking at the red and green marks it appears that today is a tidal buy…therefore the next turn ( april 10) would be a sell..at a higher level…but I am probably reading it incorrectly…Having said all that the results are remarkable…

You must log in to post a comment.