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thoughts on markets & cetera – christopher carolan

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1st Quarter Dow Solunar Model

December 21st, 2008 at 1:15pm · 3 Comments

Here’s teh Dow Solunar model for the 1st quarter of 2009.  The strongest implication of the chart is that recent upward biases in the market may end at the very beginning of January.  But there is no strong down-draft indicated either for early 2009. In general, a drifting, neutral chart in the solunar model is interpreted as ‘no message’ rather than as a forecast for a drifting-neutral market.

click chart to enlarge

Tags: General Market Commentary · S&P 500

3 responses so far ↓

  • 1 BearOfNH // Dec 23, 2008 at 1:19 pm

    More calendar projections:

    - 12/14 was a “major” Bradley Siderograph turning point date.

    - 12/21 was a Gann “Cardinal” turning point.

    - Martin Armstrong’s (calendar-based) Economic Confidence Model has an upward bias until early May 2009. Then again, it has had an upward bias since before the Autumn panic…

    But the stock market seems to be just idling in the 8000-9000 DJIA range. Perhaps the fireworks are over and people are too lethargic or maybe too shell-shocked to do anything.

  • 2 tobject // Dec 27, 2008 at 1:53 am

    Jan 4 is weekend though

  • 3 mdlifelab // Jan 3, 2009 at 4:51 pm

    Hello Chris, Your DOW Solunar model is very intriguing. I’ve been following it for the past 4 months and actually have been using it as a partial guide when trading. What are the main building blocks? Is it just the lunar cycle or are you incorporating other variables?

    Nice work!
    Mike D

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