Comments on: Where We Are http://carolan.org/2008/10/where-we-are/ thoughts on markets & cetera - christopher carolan Fri, 27 Jan 2012 01:53:51 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: chris http://carolan.org/2008/10/where-we-are/comment-page-1/#comment-198 chris Mon, 27 Oct 2008 12:50:30 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=943#comment-198 Jon, the smaller wiggles in the Solunar Model likely don't have value. It's really about identifying periods of seasonal strength or weakness where the model gets away from '50' are on that chart. Jon, the smaller wiggles in the Solunar Model likely don’t have value. It’s really about identifying periods of seasonal strength or weakness where the model gets away from ’50′ are on that chart.

]]> By: Jon Eeles http://carolan.org/2008/10/where-we-are/comment-page-1/#comment-197 Jon Eeles Mon, 27 Oct 2008 11:00:16 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=943#comment-197 Chris. in the period after 26th October untill the end of this year, the advance in your Solunar model takes a five wave form, which for elliotticians implies at least a larger three wave move lasting perhaps into spring of next year. is there evidence to support this scenario in next years Solunar model ? Do you think this is likely? It's all red in the UK this morning (27th) looking for the turn later today. Chris. in the period after 26th October untill the end of this year, the advance in your Solunar model takes a five wave form, which for elliotticians implies at least a larger three wave move lasting perhaps into spring of next year. is there evidence to support this scenario in next years Solunar model ? Do you think this is likely? It’s all red in the UK this morning (27th) looking for the turn later today.

]]> By: ramparikh http://carolan.org/2008/10/where-we-are/comment-page-1/#comment-177 ramparikh Fri, 24 Oct 2008 16:54:04 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=943#comment-177 Chris, Can you please expand on the Nov. turn date that I read in your research, if this is the bottom, do we test it again and go up on the turn date? Thank. Great JOB! RAM Chris,

Can you please expand on the Nov. turn date that I read in your research, if this is the bottom, do we test it again and go up on the turn date?

Thank.

Great JOB!

RAM

]]> By: muellerjoerg http://carolan.org/2008/10/where-we-are/comment-page-1/#comment-176 muellerjoerg Fri, 24 Oct 2008 15:56:02 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=943#comment-176 Chris: what to make of the Nov. SC turn date? Chris: what to make of the Nov. SC turn date?

]]> By: chris http://carolan.org/2008/10/where-we-are/comment-page-1/#comment-175 chris Fri, 24 Oct 2008 15:28:23 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=943#comment-175 This morning's low may very well be the bottom. There's no requirement for further weakness. This morning’s low may very well be the bottom. There’s no requirement for further weakness.

]]> By: tobject http://carolan.org/2008/10/where-we-are/comment-page-1/#comment-174 tobject Fri, 24 Oct 2008 15:14:22 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=943#comment-174 Have u seen comparison with 1937 http://www.elliottfractals.com/Spooky_Fractal_2008.jpg as well as 1929 http://api.ning.com/files/vMcap*7BouNbiYSAWqLtwt8k-Tx-dw*d8BIpTrro56ioDHJTpGzI*KZRjIiIZYLHl36fWrpiLbQRQVPyj2zOhpyQKvmDDI0R/crash.gif Have u seen comparison with
1937
http://www.elliottfractals.com/Spooky_Fractal_2008.jpg

as well as 1929

http://api.ning.com/files/vMcap*7BouNbiYSAWqLtwt8k-Tx-dw*d8BIpTrro56ioDHJTpGzI*KZRjIiIZYLHl36fWrpiLbQRQVPyj2zOhpyQKvmDDI0R/crash.gif

]]> By: tobject http://carolan.org/2008/10/where-we-are/comment-page-1/#comment-173 tobject Fri, 24 Oct 2008 15:11:01 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=943#comment-173 Chris, how about 7-28 lunar day ends late Monday? Chris,
how about 7-28 lunar day ends
late Monday?

]]> By: chris http://carolan.org/2008/10/where-we-are/comment-page-1/#comment-172 chris Fri, 24 Oct 2008 15:04:12 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=943#comment-172 I don't think we get a 'better' or more 'proper' panic as the markets will be closed when that is most likely to occur. Also, because there has been so much selling for so many months, the profile of the market is very different from the crash years of 1929 and 1987 when all-time highs were close to the crash point. I think this morning's high VIX reading of 89.53 is all the panic needed. I don’t think we get a ‘better’ or more ‘proper’ panic as the markets will be closed when that is most likely to occur. Also, because there has been so much selling for so many months, the profile of the market is very different from the crash years of 1929 and 1987 when all-time highs were close to the crash point.

I think this morning’s high VIX reading of 89.53 is all the panic needed.

]]> By: NickG http://carolan.org/2008/10/where-we-are/comment-page-1/#comment-171 NickG Fri, 24 Oct 2008 14:57:22 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=943#comment-171 I'm not sure there has been proper panic in equities. Dow only just making a new closing low for instance (and that's assuming we end down 2.8% 0r more today). Europe panicky today but volumes not really high. Currencies have seen some panic but with the new moon not til Tuesday is there not a chance we get a "better" panic on Monday? I would like a proper 10% down day in USA, or more actually. I think we need circuit breakers to kick in, then open again and see more falls.. That would be panic in my book. I’m not sure there has been proper panic in equities. Dow only just making a new closing low for instance (and that’s assuming we end down 2.8% 0r more today). Europe panicky today but volumes not really high. Currencies have seen some panic but with the new moon not til Tuesday is there not a chance we get a “better” panic on Monday? I would like a proper 10% down day in USA, or more actually. I think we need circuit breakers to kick in, then open again and see more falls.. That would be panic in my book.

]]> By: muellerjoerg http://carolan.org/2008/10/where-we-are/comment-page-1/#comment-170 muellerjoerg Fri, 24 Oct 2008 14:48:24 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=943#comment-170 Chris: I'm with libertas. Just amazing. BTW I'm still not sure what to make of the proximity between the Dark Days and the Nov. Spiral Calendar turn date. We may even make a final lower low then, not? I'm still very unsure and I can certainly feel the panic sentiment on me, too. Fortunately, I was prepared thanks to your work. But still, I cannot escape the anxiety around me either. I actually found out it helps to tune out the noise: CNBC, blogs (except for this one and Tom Drake's). I even hardly watch news any more. Joe Chris: I’m with libertas. Just amazing.

BTW I’m still not sure what to make of the proximity between the Dark Days and the Nov. Spiral Calendar turn date. We may even make a final lower low then, not? I’m still very unsure and I can certainly feel the panic sentiment on me, too. Fortunately, I was prepared thanks to your work. But still, I cannot escape the anxiety around me either. I actually found out it helps to tune out the noise: CNBC, blogs (except for this one and Tom Drake’s). I even hardly watch news any more.
Joe

]]>