Comments on: Short Term Struggles http://carolan.org/2008/10/short-term-struggles/ thoughts on markets & cetera - christopher carolan Fri, 27 Jan 2012 01:53:51 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: AC http://carolan.org/2008/10/short-term-struggles/comment-page-1/#comment-155 AC Tue, 21 Oct 2008 16:41:22 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=917#comment-155 Nov date was presented as a turn date. Not specifically a high or low. For the date to be effective you need the market to rally hard into it and turn or fall hard into it and turn. If neither happens, then it can be disregarded. So the possibilities are (1) market continues lower for a few more weeks and the low is the big one off say the May highs (2) Market turns up sooner (say oct 26) and it's a reflex high in the move off lows (3) it's a dud. With such important tops creating the date it would be a shame/surprise if it was a dud. Let's see what happens. I understood dark days as the likely point for a crash low. I guess Friday/Monday is still a long time away in these markets, but perhaps the crash has already happened and the date becomes less relevant. If market continues sideways in this triangle for the rest of the week, then maybe the Nov date will be an important interim low en route 2010 and not Oct 26. Nov date was presented as a turn date. Not specifically a high or low. For the date to be effective you need the market to rally hard into it and turn or fall hard into it and turn. If neither happens, then it can be disregarded. So the possibilities are (1) market continues lower for a few more weeks and the low is the big one off say the May highs (2) Market turns up sooner (say oct 26) and it’s a reflex high in the move off lows (3) it’s a dud. With such important tops creating the date it would be a shame/surprise if it was a dud. Let’s see what happens.

I understood dark days as the likely point for a crash low. I guess Friday/Monday is still a long time away in these markets, but perhaps the crash has already happened and the date becomes less relevant. If market continues sideways in this triangle for the rest of the week, then maybe the Nov date will be an important interim low en route 2010 and not Oct 26.

]]> By: ramparikh http://carolan.org/2008/10/short-term-struggles/comment-page-1/#comment-153 ramparikh Tue, 21 Oct 2008 04:22:13 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=917#comment-153 Chris, On the comment you mentioned the "dark days" and this weekend the end? I thought the Nov. date mentioned in your June report was the end? Thanks for clarifying. RAM Chris,

On the comment you mentioned the “dark days” and this weekend the end?

I thought the Nov. date mentioned in your June report was the end?

Thanks for clarifying.

RAM

]]> By: tipllc http://carolan.org/2008/10/short-term-struggles/comment-page-1/#comment-151 tipllc Mon, 20 Oct 2008 17:46:59 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=917#comment-151 Hi Chris: Still trying to figure out where the Nov 10-11 "turn" fits into all of this (from your June writings), any recent updates/thoughts? Hi Chris:

Still trying to figure out where the Nov 10-11 “turn” fits into all of this (from your June writings), any recent updates/thoughts?

]]> By: JC Martin http://carolan.org/2008/10/short-term-struggles/comment-page-1/#comment-150 JC Martin Mon, 20 Oct 2008 15:56:50 +0000 http://carolan.org/?p=917#comment-150 Hi Chris in the text the next panic forecasted is in 2023. Is this month's action not considered a panic? to me it looks like one, but then why couldn't it be forecasted? are the spiral calendar calculations missing something somewhere? thanks for clarifying. JC Hi Chris
in the text the next panic forecasted is in 2023. Is this month’s action not considered a panic? to me it looks like one, but then why couldn’t it be forecasted? are the spiral calendar calculations missing something somewhere?
thanks for clarifying.
JC

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